DET · G · NBA · next: BKN, Fri Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | under 14.5 | 90% | 83¢ | 84% | Fair |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 53% | 55¢ | 55% | Fair |
| Assists | over 3.5 | 55% | 57¢ | 57% | Fair |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 73% | 82¢ | 81% | Skip |
| Assists | under 5.5 | 77% | 89¢ | 87% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 7.5 | 62% | 75¢ | 73% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | under 0.5 | 93% | — | — | No price |
| Blocks | over 0.5 | 69% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Ausar Thompson in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | CHA | 7 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 29 |
| Oct 28 | NY | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
| Oct 24 | MIA | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| Oct 20 | BOS | 11 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 33 |
| May 18 | CLE | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29 |
| May 15 | CLE | 10 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 24 |
| May 14 | CLE | 6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 41 |
| May 12 | CLE | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| May 9 | CLE | 9 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 29 |
| May 7 | CLE | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.