WSH · F · NBA · next: CHA, Fri Oct 30, 7:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Pointers | under 1.5 | 76% | 69¢ | 70% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 34.5 | 53% | 47¢ | 48% | Fair |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 73% | 70¢ | 70% | Fair |
| Points | over 19.5 | 58% | 58¢ | 58% | Fair |
| Assists | over 1.5 | 72% | 74¢ | 74% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 9.5 | 53% | 55¢ | 55% | Fair |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 67% | 71¢ | 70% | Skip |
| Blocks | over 0.5 | 67% | 71¢ | 70% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
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| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | CLE | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Oct 26 | CHA | 29 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 36 |
| Oct 25 | CHI | 19 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 31 |
| Oct 23 | TOR | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Oct 21 | MIL | 34 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 34 |
| Jan 9 | UTAH | 21 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 35 |
| Jan 7 | SAC | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 36 |
| Jan 4 | HOU | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 39 |
| Jan 2 | PHI | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 37 |
| Dec 25 | GS | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.