ORL · G · NBA · next: MIL, Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steals | over 1.5 | 52% | 46¢ | 47% | Fair |
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 24.5 | 52% | 53¢ | 53% | Fair |
| 3-Pointers | over 1.5 | 51% | 53¢ | 53% | Fair |
| Points | over 14.5 | 53% | 56¢ | 56% | Fair |
| Rebounds | over 3.5 | 70% | 73¢ | 73% | Skip |
| 3-Pointers | under 2.5 | 68% | 74¢ | 73% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 5.5 | 53% | 62¢ | 61% | Skip |
| Assists | over 3.5 | 54% | 68¢ | 66% | Skip |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Nov 13, 11:08 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Anthony Black in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | UTAH | 22 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 39 |
| Nov 11 | SAC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| Nov 8 | GS | 18 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Nov 6 | PHX | 10 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 31 |
| Nov 1 | BOS | 23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 33 |
| Oct 30 | TOR | 17 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 31 |
| Oct 28 | TOR | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Oct 25 | NY | 18 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26 |
| May 3 | DET | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33 |
| May 1 | DET | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 34 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.