HOU · G · NBA · next: DAL, Fri Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET
| Prop | Line | Model | Price | Fair | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pts+Reb+Ast | over 29.5 | 59% | 57¢ | 57% | Fair |
| Assists | over 3.5 | 72% | 75¢ | 74% | Skip |
| Steals | under 1.5 | 58% | 62¢ | 61% | Skip |
| Points | under 19.5 | 57% | 61¢ | 60% | Skip |
| Rebounds | under 9.5 | 72% | 76¢ | 75% | Skip |
| Rebounds | over 7.5 | 51% | 56¢ | 55% | Skip |
| Steals | over 0.5 | 73% | — | — | No price |
| Points | over 17.5 | 58% | — | — | No price |
Prices from Polymarket US as of Oct 30, 11:09 AM ET. Fair is the model blended with the price (15% model, 85% market — the mix that has predicted graded picks best); the market usually knows more than the game logs. Tap a prop for the live price and the full breakdown.
Open Amen Thompson in the full model →
| Game | Opp | Points | Rebounds | Assists | 3-Pointers | Minutes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | MIL | 23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 33 |
| Oct 27 | ATL | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| Oct 25 | ATL | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 39 |
| Oct 24 | SA | 20 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 36 |
| Oct 22 | DAL | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| May 2 | LAL | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 45 |
| Apr 30 | LAL | 15 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 46 |
| Apr 27 | LAL | 23 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 41 |
| Apr 25 | LAL | 26 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 48 |
| Apr 22 | LAL | 16 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 42 |
The model weights recent games more, adjusts for the matchup and is calibrated on its own graded record — how it works. Research, not betting advice.