NFL · Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · 150 props modeled · updated Nov 13, 8:50 PM ET
| Player | Prop | Model | Price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr. | under 19.5 Completions | 66% | 49¢ | Value |
| Michael Penix Jr. | under 1.5 Pass TDs | 76% | 59¢ | Value |
| Patrick Mahomes | over 9.5 Rush Yds | 62% | 46¢ | Value |
| Josh Downs | over 29.5 Rec Yds | 56% | 40¢ | Value |
| Michael Penix Jr. | under 324.5 Pass Yds | 97% | 94¢ | Top 25 |
| Michael Penix Jr. | under 3.5 Pass TDs | 98% | 96¢ | Top 25 |
| Patrick Mahomes | over 149.5 Pass Yds | 94% | 93¢ | Top 25 |
This game's props on the board's Value and Top 25 Surest lists. Value: the model rates it well above a price of 30¢ or more. Top 25: among the surest props on the slate.
| Player | Prop | Model | Price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | over 9.5 Rush Yds | 62% | 46¢ | Value |
| over 249.5 Pass Yds | 52% | 44¢ | Fair | |
| over 21.5 Completions | 54% | 52¢ | Fair | |
| Josh Downs | over 29.5 Rec Yds | 56% | 40¢ | Value |
| over 3.5 Receptions | 51% | 23¢ | Fair | |
| under 39.5 Rec Yds | 60% | 76¢ | Skip | |
| Xavier Worthy | over 3.5 Receptions | 54% | 32¢ | Fair |
| over 29.5 Rec Yds | 56% | 47¢ | Fair | |
| under 39.5 Rec Yds | 56% | 70¢ | Skip | |
| Noah Gray | over 1.5 Receptions | 53% | 43¢ | Fair |
| over 9.5 Rec Yds | 58% | 54¢ | Fair | |
| under 19.5 Rec Yds | 64% | 70¢ | Skip | |
| Kenneth Walker III | under 19.5 Rec Yds | 55% | 50¢ | Fair |
| over 2.5 Receptions | 59% | 57¢ | Fair | |
| over 89.5 Rush Yds | 52% | 50¢ | Fair | |
| Travis Kelce | under 4.5 Receptions | 64% | 60¢ | Fair |
| over 39.5 Rec Yds | 62% | 62¢ | Fair | |
| under 49.5 Rec Yds | 50% | 51¢ | Fair | |
| Rashee Rice | over 4.5 Receptions | 62% | 59¢ | Fair |
| under 59.5 Rec Yds | 57% | 58¢ | Fair | |
| over 49.5 Rec Yds | 55% | 59¢ | Skip |
| Player | Prop | Model | Price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Penix Jr. | under 1.5 Pass TDs | 76% | 59¢ | Value |
| under 31.5 Pass Att | 65% | 51¢ | Fair | |
| under 199.5 Pass Yds | 50% | 42¢ | Fair | |
| Jahan Dotson | under 2.5 Receptions | 83% | 62¢ | Fair |
| under 19.5 Rec Yds | 54% | 39¢ | Fair | |
| over 1.5 Receptions | 50% | 63¢ | Skip | |
| Kyle Pitts | under 29.5 Rec Yds | 54% | 40¢ | Fair |
| under 3.5 Receptions | 52% | 45¢ | Fair | |
| over 2.5 Receptions | 62% | 77¢ | Skip | |
| Drake London | under 59.5 Rec Yds | 50% | 40¢ | Fair |
| under 5.5 Receptions | 60% | 51¢ | Fair | |
| over 4.5 Receptions | 53% | 67¢ | Skip | |
| Khalil Herbert | under 9.5 Rush Yds | 61% | 52¢ | Fair |
| Olamide Zaccheaus | under 1.5 Receptions | 64% | 58¢ | Fair |
| over 0.5 Receptions | 67% | 76¢ | Skip | |
| Bijan Robinson | under 29.5 Rec Yds | 54% | 52¢ | Fair |
| under 89.5 Rush Yds | 60% | 59¢ | Fair | |
| under 4.5 Receptions | 62% | 62¢ | Fair |
Model: the chance the prop hits, from the player's game logs. Price: the cheaper of Polymarket and Kalshi at the last update. Tap a player for the full breakdown on the board. Picks leave this page when the game starts.