NFL · Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM ET · 146 props modeled · updated Nov 4, 10:14 PM ET
| Player | Prop | Model | Price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | under 2.5 Pass TDs | 98% | 87¢ | Top 25 |
| Josh Allen | under 31.5 Pass Att | 93% | 86¢ | Top 25 |
| Aaron Jones | over 9.5 Rush Yds | 94% | 91¢ | Top 25 |
This game's props on the board's Value and Top 25 Surest lists. Value: the model rates it well above a price of 30¢ or more. Top 25: among the surest props on the slate.
| Player | Prop | Model | Price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | under 27.5 Pass Att | 74% | 54¢ | Fair |
| under 199.5 Pass Yds | 50% | 32¢ | Fair | |
| under 1.5 Pass TDs | 76% | 61¢ | Fair | |
| DJ Moore | under 3.5 Receptions | 67% | 50¢ | Fair |
| over 2.5 Receptions | 51% | 49¢ | Fair | |
| under 39.5 Rec Yds | 58% | 75¢ | Skip | |
| Dalton Kincaid | under 3.5 Receptions | 60% | 49¢ | Fair |
| over 2.5 Receptions | 57% | 54¢ | Fair | |
| under 39.5 Rec Yds | 56% | 56¢ | Fair | |
| James Cook | over 89.5 Rush Yds | 50% | 42¢ | Fair |
| under 99.5 Rush Yds | 61% | 78¢ | Skip | |
| Keon Coleman | under 2.5 Receptions | 62% | 56¢ | Fair |
| under 29.5 Rec Yds | 58% | 63¢ | Skip | |
| over 19.5 Rec Yds | 54% | 66¢ | Skip | |
| Khalil Shakir | over 39.5 Rec Yds | 54% | 49¢ | Fair |
| over 3.5 Receptions | 57% | 53¢ | Fair | |
| under 49.5 Rec Yds | 60% | 77¢ | Skip |
| Player | Prop | Model | Price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Addison | under 3.5 Receptions | 67% | 52¢ | Fair |
| under 39.5 Rec Yds | 58% | 51¢ | Fair | |
| over 29.5 Rec Yds | 52% | 66¢ | Skip | |
| Aaron Jones | over 29.5 Rush Yds | 65% | 54¢ | Fair |
| under 39.5 Rush Yds | 54% | 75¢ | Skip | |
| T.J. Hockenson | under 29.5 Rec Yds | 52% | 43¢ | Fair |
| under 3.5 Receptions | 59% | 73¢ | Skip | |
| over 19.5 Rec Yds | 62% | 81¢ | Skip | |
| Jordan Mason | under 49.5 Rush Yds | 58% | 55¢ | Fair |
| over 39.5 Rush Yds | 57% | 64¢ | Skip | |
| Justin Jefferson | over 3.5 Receptions | 65% | 83¢ | Skip |
| over 39.5 Rec Yds | 60% | 80¢ | Skip | |
| under 4.5 Receptions | 52% | 74¢ | Skip |
Model: the chance the prop hits, from the player's game logs. Price: the cheaper of Polymarket and Kalshi at the last update. Tap a player for the full breakdown on the board. Picks leave this page when the game starts.